NFL Booms and Busts: Draft Edition
1.Braxton Miller
Last year, Miller made the switch from quarterback to wide receiver after his backups Cardale Jones and JT Barrett, won Ohio State a National Championship in 2014. The change gave fans a glimpse at what Miller can do as a slot receiver. But will he be able to produce at the next level?
Boom Comparison: Julian Edelman
At Kent State Edelman was a duel threat quarterback who picked apart defenses with his arm and his legs. When he made the move to the NFL, Edelman switched positions and became the most dangerous slot receiver in the league. His success can be partly attributed to his knowledge of the quarterback position when running his routes and his reliable hands. Edelman thinks like a quarterback and consequently he has become Tom Brady’s favorite target.
Miller has the same quarterback experience and might just be even more athletic than Edelman, which is a scary thought. Miller showed that he can run razor sharp routes last year for the Buckeyes. His 4.50 40 yard dash at the combine is making scouts think he will get picked in the third round. Once Miller settles in at receiver, he could become one of the best in the game.
Bust Comparison: Derrick Williams
Who? Derrick Williams was the best athlete in the country as a high school quarterback. He was the number one overall recruit in his class and went to Penn State to play wide receiver. There he started for four years and made huge plays running, passing, and receiving passes for the Nittany Lions. Williams was drafted by Detroit in the third round of the 2009 draft but he could not carry his athleticism over to the NFL and only played two seasons as a Lion before leaving for the Canadian Football League.
Williams was just as athletic if not more athletic than Edelman and Miller, so what happened? Although Williams could make big plays, he was prone to an easy drop every once in a while. To be successful, Miller will need to show that he has reliable hands to be in the slot. He has all the tools but his hands will determine the future of his career.
2. Ezekiel Ellott
Ezekiel Elliot electrified the college football world last year with dozens of game changing runs. But how will he respond to the grueling job as an NFL feature back?
Boom Comparison: LeSean McCoy
Like Elliot, McCoy came into the draft as one of the top running back prospects, but scouts questioned his ability to be an every down back especially in short yardage situations. McCoy had an early chance to silence the critics in his rookie year when Brian Westbrook went down. He quickly showed that he was destined to be one of the best backs in the country when rose to the top of the NFL’s rushing leaders in the next few years.
Elliot has devastating quickness and vision to find the hole in the defense. He also has the ability to read his blocks and find the best cutback lane. This gives him the ability to score from anywhere on the field and makes him a potential top ten draft pick.
Bust Comparison: Reggie Bush
Fresh off his Heisman Trophy season, Reggie Bush had huge expectations going into the NFL. Bush will go down as one of the most explosive players to ever play college football after his unbelievable career with the Trojans. As a result, Bush was drafted with the second overall pick, a rarity for a running back in today’s game. However, Bush just couldn’t seem to live up to the expectations and struggled to carry his success over to the NFL and consequently struggled to find a starting job.
Elliot reminded fans of Bush last year when he would get into the open field and make a few defenders look stupid. The type of quickness and acceleration that he brings to the table can be dangerous but time will only tell if he will be able to showcase it on Sundays.
3.Derrick Henry
After winning the Heisman Trophy and a National Championship last season, it is safe to say that Derrick Henry is headed into the NFL with a good amount of confidence. Can Henry bring it to the big leagues? The answer just may depend on which team picks him up.
Boom Comparison: Brandon Jacobs
The Bruising Alabama running back draws comparisons to Jacobs for obvious reasons. Both of these backs are guys who you can give the ball to 30 times a game to eat up clock and open up the rest of the offense. They are both built like linebackers, and can deal with the beating of being a 4-quarter back.
A player like Jacobs or Henry in the right system can be the difference maker between winning and losing, but what if that player doesn’t end up in the right system. The answer is below and it is not pretty.
Bust Comparison: Trent Richardson
Trent Richardson won few National Championship at Alabama and then was drafted to the Browns in the first round. Everything was looking up for him. He ran for 11 touchdowns and 950 yards in his rookie season. He proved himself to be a steady, bruising back that a team could build their offense around. Then Richardson was traded to the Colts and collapsed, averaged under 3 yards per carry and has yet to reach 600 yards rushing since the trade.
Richardson is very similar to Henry in terms of his running style. Both backs that make one cut and then bulldoze their way through anyone that went unblocked. They don’t juke, spin or hurdle defenders, they just put their shoulder down and run. A back like Henry needs a solid line that can get to the second level of defenders and give him a lane to bulldoze his way through. Alabama’s All-American line and single back offense put Henry in a perfect position to be successful. Henry’s production will depend on the offensive line and offensive system that he is given to work with.