Iowa Caucus Overview
Once every four years, Iowa—a state that usually stays clear of the headlines—becomes the focus of the nation’s attentions when it hosts its first-in-the-nation Presidential caucus. Each of the nation’s two major political parties hosts a vote through which the state’s national convention delegates—the people who, come summer, will select each party’s Presidential nominee—are awarded to each candidate in proportional fashion. On February 1st, Iowans cast their votes, and the results were surprising.
Three candidates began the night in Iowa, and only two came out. Martin O’Malley, who was not predicted to perform well in the Hawkeye State, came away with less than 1% of the vote and dropped out of the Presidential race before the official results were even announced. The other two candidates, Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, finished in a virtual dead heat. Clinton emerged victorious—garnering 49.8% of the vote to Bernie’s 49.6%—but the Sanders campaign was widely considered to have won a moral victory, and Clinton’s campaign was slammed by many media experts about their poor performance. Sanders has refused to officially concede the race.
The Republican field was far more interesting—and far more surprising. Candidates Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, and Marco Rubio were expected to finish 1st through 3rd respectively, with every other candidate scoring far behind in the single digits. The largest surprise of the night came, however, when frontrunner Trump fell to Cruz by a substantial margin—over 3%. Marco Rubio also had a stronger-than-expected showing, garnering 22% of the vote (to Cruz’s 28% and Trump’s 25%) when he was only polling in the mid-teens as close as the night before the caucus. In fourth place was Ben Carson, who performed slightly better than expected at 10%. The rest of the candidates, as predicted, failed to score more than a tenth of the vote. Candidates Mike Huckabee, who failed to get more than 2% of support, and Rand Paul, who came in fifth, have suspended their campaigns as a result.
The Iowa Caucuses, by a large margin, were the most participated-in Presidential caucuses in the state’s history. Due to the motley field of candidates and fascinating storylines of the 2016 election, the caucuses also received an unprecedented amount of media coverage. The Presidential fight, which many thought was beginning to finally clear, has clearly only just begun.